Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.346641 0.374471 0.404348 0.438959 0.478139 0.521337 0.572878
2025-01-12 0.280270 0.318179 0.362070 0.417326 0.486029 0.570036 0.682809
2025-01-19 0.237743 0.279482 0.330503 0.398883 0.490463 0.612601 0.794905
2025-01-26 0.217577 0.263506 0.322361 0.405820 0.525695 0.699942 0.990952
2025-02-02 0.206987 0.257481 0.325036 0.426082 0.581566 0.828672 1.296374
2025-02-09 0.192903 0.244730 0.316330 0.427898 0.609241 0.919720 1.577025
2025-02-16 0.178463 0.229782 0.302430 0.419284 0.617712 0.979131 1.823962
2025-02-23 0.168259 0.219724 0.294312 0.418086 0.637741 1.064554 2.178365
2025-03-02 0.157919 0.208516 0.283222 0.410338 0.644256 1.124518 2.509182
2025-03-09 0.148799 0.198368 0.272752 0.402161 0.648226 1.180007 2.871614
2025-03-16 0.140931 0.189515 0.263502 0.394879 0.652476 1.237421 3.294974
2025-03-23 0.137106 0.186493 0.263188 0.403172 0.689490 1.387103 4.249864
2025-03-30 0.129749 0.177823 0.253456 0.394084 0.690192 1.448743 4.953990
2025-04-06 0.121458 0.167328 0.240144 0.377297 0.672085 1.455225 5.421177
2025-04-13 0.114122 0.157974 0.228168 0.361981 0.655208 1.461881 5.944115
2025-04-20 0.111134 0.155365 0.227394 0.368217 0.689813 1.645329 8.288058
2025-04-27 0.110172 0.155929 0.232074 0.385827 0.756535 1.981882 14.286995
2025-05-04 0.106819 0.152347 0.229143 0.387431 0.782827 2.189120 21.384823
2025-05-11 0.102435 0.146809 0.222309 0.380001 0.783177 2.290374 28.556975
2025-05-18 0.099264 0.143142 0.218623 0.378970 0.801499 2.490268 46.040888
2025-05-25 0.095563 0.138396 0.212645 0.372267 0.802048 2.606699 69.066729
2025-06-01 0.092063 0.133836 0.206746 0.365182 0.800233 2.713428 109.056230
2025-06-08 0.088886 0.129696 0.201401 0.358865 0.799724 2.831643 196.497704